Is a military takeover in Zimbabwe a real possibility or we are jumping at shadows?

Posted: July 19, 2011 in Uncategorized

Last week the influential South African Business Day newspaper carried an article entitled “The threat of Army takeover looms in Zimbabwe” and I thought “wow, that’s a heavy headline”. But there might have been reasons why the editors of such a powerful newspaper ran the article. I hope they are not part of the “regime change agenda” at least. Let’s analyse this: First there were threats made to the public by a now disowned former army general Douglas Nyikayaramba. We have always heard how the Head of State Mugabe threatens war if he were to lose elections. Then, stories of support for a military leader in Zimbabwe by the name of Army General Chiwenga, who once shot himself after failing an exam, were all over the media two weeks ago. And today, a retired Brigadier General Asher Walter Tapfumaneyi, who is a principal Director in the Ministry of State for Presidential Affairs, told the Financial Times that many of them feel an MDC victory could mean that either the military stage a coup or Zimbabwe could go to war. So, I am sitting here thinking, could all these things happen?

Elections, elections and elections, who is a clown now?

Zanu PF wants them this year. The MDC T says it is ready for them. MDC N says lets level the playing ground. South Africa says Zimbabwe is not ready. Analysts foresee the events of 2008 General Elections playing themselves out again. “We are Zimbabweans, we decide what we want to do. Negotiators are not cast in stone. We can accept or reject what negotiators have decided, so I don’t want to listen to that kind of nonsense”. I have three words for the Zanu PF spokesperson who said this and they are “speak for yourself”.

Have we forgotten?

The voters’ role. To me, this is a critical element of the whole credibility of any future Zimbabwean elections. I know everyone is concerned about violence and other impediments, but if we don’t fix the voters’ role, we will find ourselves in trouble. Some parties know how to cook books. They have been cooking books in the past by allowing ghost voters to vote. Now they have ghosts in payrolls. What can stop their ghost voters voting if we don’t pay attention to the voters’ role?

How much confidence will we have in the results if they are based on a false voters’ role?



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